Pre-tourney Rankings
West Virginia
Big 12
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+19.7#5
Expected Predictive Rating+17.9#11
Pace72.0#73
Improvement-5.2#342

Offense
Total Offense+9.5#19
First Shot+6.0#34
After Offensive Rebound+3.5#14
Layup/Dunks+4.0#38
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#160
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#164
Freethrows+1.7#64
Improvement-2.3#287

Defense
Total Defense+10.2#5
First Shot+9.9#4
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#147
Layups/Dunks+4.0#39
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#5
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#45
Freethrows-1.0#234
Improvement-2.9#312
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 1.4% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 55.3% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.5% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round88.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen57.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight31.0% n/a n/a
Final Four17.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game8.8% n/a n/a
National Champion4.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 216   Mount St. Mary's W 87-59 98%     1 - 0 +21.9 +9.1 +11.5
  Nov 14, 2016 344   Mississippi Valley W 107-66 99.8%    2 - 0 +21.9 +6.9 +9.0
  Nov 20, 2016 188   New Hampshire W 100-41 98%     3 - 0 +55.2 +18.5 +31.8
  Nov 24, 2016 64   Illinois W 89-57 85%     4 - 0 +40.5 +26.6 +15.5
  Nov 25, 2016 107   Temple L 77-81 93%     4 - 1 -0.5 +2.9 -3.2
  Nov 28, 2016 289   Manhattan W 108-61 99%     5 - 1 +36.4 +12.0 +16.0
  Dec 03, 2016 11   @ Virginia W 66-57 47%     6 - 1 +29.4 +19.7 +11.4
  Dec 07, 2016 317   Western Carolina W 90-37 99%     7 - 1 +42.6 +10.8 +28.4
  Dec 10, 2016 324   VMI W 90-55 99%     8 - 1 +21.6 +13.6 +9.7
  Dec 17, 2016 224   UMKC W 112-67 98%     9 - 1 +38.5 +24.4 +10.0
  Dec 20, 2016 298   Radford W 84-57 99%     10 - 1 +15.7 +10.3 +6.2
  Dec 23, 2016 149   Northern Kentucky W 92-61 97%     11 - 1 +29.3 +15.0 +13.6
  Dec 30, 2016 20   @ Oklahoma St. W 92-75 53%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +36.0 +22.8 +13.2
  Jan 03, 2017 45   @ Texas Tech L 76-77 OT 72%     12 - 2 1 - 1 +12.8 +14.8 -2.1
  Jan 07, 2017 37   TCU W 82-70 84%     13 - 2 2 - 1 +21.1 +15.8 +5.8
  Jan 10, 2017 15   Baylor W 89-68 67%     14 - 2 3 - 1 +36.1 +14.3 +19.5
  Jan 14, 2017 63   @ Texas W 74-72 79%     15 - 2 4 - 1 +13.1 +12.0 +1.1
  Jan 18, 2017 60   Oklahoma L 87-89 OT 88%     15 - 3 4 - 2 +4.7 +11.7 -6.7
  Jan 21, 2017 30   @ Kansas St. L 75-79 66%     15 - 4 4 - 3 +11.4 +10.2 +1.2
  Jan 24, 2017 6   Kansas W 85-69 61%     16 - 4 5 - 3 +32.9 +25.5 +8.7
  Jan 28, 2017 66   Texas A&M W 81-77 90%     17 - 4 +9.8 +12.0 -2.2
  Jan 31, 2017 17   @ Iowa St. W 85-72 49%     18 - 4 6 - 3 +33.1 +19.2 +13.9
  Feb 04, 2017 20   Oklahoma St. L 75-82 71%     18 - 5 6 - 4 +6.9 +10.5 -4.2
  Feb 08, 2017 60   @ Oklahoma W 61-50 78%     19 - 5 7 - 4 +22.8 +2.0 +21.8
  Feb 11, 2017 30   Kansas St. W 85-66 81%     20 - 5 8 - 4 +29.4 +12.7 +15.6
  Feb 13, 2017 6   @ Kansas L 80-84 OT 41%     20 - 6 8 - 5 +18.0 +6.5 +11.9
  Feb 18, 2017 45   Texas Tech W 83-74 2OT 85%     21 - 6 9 - 5 +17.7 +4.9 +11.9
  Feb 20, 2017 63   Texas W 77-62 90%     22 - 6 10 - 5 +21.0 +15.2 +6.5
  Feb 25, 2017 37   @ TCU W 61-60 70%     23 - 6 11 - 5 +15.2 +0.5 +14.8
  Feb 27, 2017 15   @ Baylor L 62-71 48%     23 - 7 11 - 6 +11.2 +5.7 +4.5
  Mar 03, 2017 17   Iowa St. W 87-76 68%     24 - 7 12 - 6 +26.0 +13.2 +12.1
  Mar 09, 2017 63   Texas W 63-53 85%     25 - 7 +18.6 +8.8 +11.3
  Mar 10, 2017 30   Kansas St. W 51-50 74%     26 - 7 +13.9 -3.9 +18.0
  Mar 11, 2017 17   Iowa St. L 74-80 58%     26 - 8 +11.6 +10.9 +0.4
Projected Record 26.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.4 0.1 1.2 17.4 36.6 34.2 10.0 0.5 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.4 0.1 1.2 17.4 36.6 34.2 10.0 0.5 100.0%